The Oscars 2019

Predictions:

Best Picture:
My top movies of 2018:
1. If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Sorry to Bother You
3. The Old Man and the Gun
4. Black Panther
5. First Man
6. Eighth Grade
7. Won't You Be My Neighbor?
8. The Death of Stalin
9. Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse
10+. The Favourite, Roma, Shoplifters, Widows

Will Win: Roma
Should Win: Black Panther

Best Director:
Will Win and Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron, Roma


Best Actress:
Will Win and Should Win: Glenn Close, The Wife
Honorable Mention: Lady Gaga, A Star is Born

Best Actor:
Will Win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Should Win: Christian Bale, Vice

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win and Should Win: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Honorable Mention: Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Should Win: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Adapted Screenplay: 
Will Win: Blackkklansman
Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Green Book
Should Win: The Favourite

Best Cinematography:
Will Win and Should Win: Roma

Best Costume Design:
Will Win and Should Win: Black Panther
Honorable Mention: The Favourite

Best Editing:
Will Win and Should Win: Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Will Win: Vice (haven't seen Border or Mary Queen of Scots)

Best Production Design:
Will Win and Should Win: Black Panther
Honorable Mention: Roma

Best Score:
Will Win and Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk (I love the score and any other winner would be a travesty)

Best Song:
Will Win and Should Win: Shallow, A Star is Born

Best Sound Editing:
Will Win: Bohemian Rhapsody (haven't seen A Quiet Place)

Best Sound Mixing:
Will Win: Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Visual Effects:
Will Win and Should Win: First Man

Best Animation:
Will Win and Should Win: Spiderman: Into the Spider Verse (haven't seen Mirai)

Best Documentary:
Will Win: Free Solo
Should Win: Minding the Gap (haven't seen Of Fathers and Sons or Hale County This Morning, This Evening)

Best Foreign Language Film:
Will Win: Roma, Mexico
Should Win: Shoplifters, Japan (haven't seen Capernaum, Never Look Away)

Best Animated Short:
Will Win: Bao

Best Documentary Short:
Will Win: Period. End of Sentence
Backup: End Game

Best Live Action Short:
Will Win: Fauve


Result: 20/24 isn't bad. Live Action Short and Score are one thing. But the big upsets were in Best Actress and Best Picture. Olivia Colman is very deserving and her speech was hilarious, but who would have bet against Glenn Close, now a 7 time nominee without a win? Best Picture going to Green Book, though, is Driving Miss Daisy all over again.