Showing posts with label Conan O'Brien. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Conan O'Brien. Show all posts

Saturday, March 14, 2026

98th Academy Awards (2026)

I'm hosting again this year! It's been an excellent year at the movies, not just good quality but movies we need. We've been spoiled with movies that speak to our here and now with urgency. There are many movies that would be worthy winners, to represent the (challenging) year. How lucky we are that in the inaugural year of the Best Casting Award, there are five superbly well cast nominees. Sinners was perhaps the best theatrical experience of the year and it was handsomely rewarded with nominations in every category for which it was eligible, a record even if you discount the new Casting award. I also want to call out the extraordinary showing for foreign language films in both topline and below-the-line categories; nice to see single nominees in the crafts that I've never even heard of making you really think they're deserved nominations not just riding coattails of a popular movie. And in the top categories, there's really only one lock (Jessie Buckley giving the performance of the year), so it's anybody's game. 

My Top Movies

  1. Sinners
  2. Marty Supreme
  3. One Battle After Another
  4. Resurrection
  5. The Baltimorons
  6. It Was Just an Accident
  7. Sentimental Value
  8. Splitsville
  9. Happyend
  10. Hamnet
  11. Black Bag
  12. Train Dreams
  13. The Secret Agent
  14. F1
  15. On Becoming a Guinea Fowl 

 Best Picture

  1. One Battle After Another
  2. Sinners
  3. Marty Supreme
  4. Hamnet
  5. Sentimental Value
  6. The Secret Agent
  7. Frankenstein
  8. F1
  9. Train Dreams
  10. Bugonia

Best Director
Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Should Win: Ryan Coogler, Sinners
Honorable Mention: Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident

Best Actress
Will Win/Should Win: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

Best Actor 
Will Win: Michael B Jordan, Sinners
Should Win: Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Amy Madigan, Weapons
Should Win: Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another
Honorable Mention: Tania Maria, The Secret Agent 

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win/Should Win: Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win/Should Win: One Battle After Another 

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win/Should Win: Sinners 

Best Casting
Will Win/Should Win: Sinners

Best Cinematography
Will Win: One Battle After Another
Should Win: Train Dreams 

Best Costume Design
Will Win/Should Win: Frankenstein 

Best Film Editing
Will Win/Should Win: F1

Best Makeup and Hair
Will Win/Should Win: Frankenstein 

Best Production Design
Will Win: Frankenstein
Should Win: Hamnet 
Honorable Mention: Resurrection

Best Score
Will Win/Should Win: Sinners
Honorable Mentions: Resurrection, Marty Supreme, Happyend

Best Song
Will Win: Golden, Kpop Demon Hunters
Should Win: I Lied to You, Sinners 
Honorable Mention: Bad As I Used to Be, F1

Best Sound
Will Win/Should Win: F1 

Best Visual Effects
Will Win/Should Win: Avatar: Fire and Ash

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Kpop Demon Hunters
I've neglected to watch the biggest pop culture phenomenon of the year because I don't have Netflix and I feel weird watching a kids movie at home by myself. 

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win/Should Win: The Perfect Neighbor 

Best International Film
Will Win: The Secret Agent 
Should Win: Sentimental Value
Honorable Mention: Resurrection

Best Animated Short
Will Win/Should Win: Butterfly 

Best Documentary Short
Will Win/Should Win: All the Empty Rooms
Geeta Gandbhir has a chance to double up in the documentary categories but I'm rooting for Steve Hartman.

Best Live Action Short
Will Win: A Friend of Dorothy
Should Win: Two People Exchanging Saliva 
I was so taken by Two People Exchanging Saliva, I chose it for the next movie club which I'm hosting on Monday.

Update: 16/24 but we had a great party. Rob, Sophia and Billy had a three-way tie, all with the exact same predictions as Polymarket. Future reference, ten people is the perfect number of people for a party at the Hague.

Saturday, March 1, 2025

97th Academy Awards (2025)

This Oscars season has been a wild ride. It was only in the last few weeks that a real front-runner emerged. There were probably up to six nominees that had the lead at some point this month. Notably, the most nominated movie (an inexplicable 13!) Emilia Perez no longer stands a chance thanks to the stunningly vitriolic comments from its star Karla Sofia Gascon. I'm not hosting an Oscars watch party this year because my friend Chelsey beat me to the punch, and she has rented out a bar so it's getting serious. I will be attempting to bring the least transportable thing possible: ice cubes, molded in the shape of the Oscars statue. I've spent the last several days making ice. Hopefully they don't all melt by the time I get there.

My Top Movies

  1. Dune: Part Two
  2. Challengers
  3. Sing Sing
  4. Problemista
  5. Hit Man
  6. Anora
  7. A Real Pain
  8. Nickel Boys
  9. Exhibiting Forgiveness
  10. The Brutalist
  11. Robot Dreams
  12. La Chimera
  13. Between the Temples
  14. Close Your Eyes

Best Picture

  1. Anora
  2. The Brutalist
  3. Conclave
  4. A Complete Unknown
  5. Wicked
  6. Dune: Part Two
  7. Nickel Boys
  8. Emilia Perez
  9. The Substance
  10. I'm Still Here

Best Director
Will Win: Sean Baker, Anora
Honorable Mention: Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

Best Actress
Will Win: Demi Moore, The Substance
Should Win: Mikey Madison, Anora

Best Actor
Will Win: Timothee Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
Should Win: Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win/Should Win: Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win/Should Win: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Conclave
Should Win: Sing Sing

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win/Should Win: Anora
Honorable Mention: A Real Pain

Best Cinematography
Will Win/Should Win: The Brutalist

Best Costume Design
Will Win/Should Win: Wicked

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Conclave
Should Win: Anora

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: The Substance
Should Win: A Different Man
Probably the tightest Makeup and Hairstyling category there's ever been, with all 5 nominees featuring especially distinctive makeup.

Best Production Design
Will Win: Wicked
Should Win: Dune: Part Two

Best Score
Will Win/Should Win: The Brutalist

Best Song
Will Win: The Journey, The Six Triple Eight
What better time to finally honor Diane Warren than right now to deny the win to Emilia Perez, a musical without any good songs or really any melody to speak of.

Best Sound
Will Win: Wicked

Best Visual Effects
Will Win/Should Win: Dune: Part Two

Best Animated Feature
Will Win/Should Win: The Wild Robot

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: No Other Land

Best International Film
Will Win: I'm Still Here
I haven't gotten a chance to see The Seed of the Sacred Fig, which I suspect would've been my pick if for no other reason the enormous sacrifice that Mohammad Rasoulof made for his important art.

Best Animated Short
Will Win: Magic Candies

Best Documentary Short
Will Win: The Only Girl in the Orchestra
Should Win: Incident

Best Live Action Short
Will Win/Should Win: A Lien

Results: 15/23 was good enough for third place at Chelsey's wonderful Oscars party at Halyards. Loved being able to celebrate the Oscars with a few dozen other movie lovers who hooted and hollered throughout the ceremony. Lots of people happy with the Anora sweep, and pleasantly surprised by Mikey Madison. Conan O'Brien killed it as expected--give that man a show! The opening Oz medley was brilliant. And lots of moments to bring tears to your eyes: LA montage, No Other Land, Zoe Saldana, Paul Tazewell, etc. Most of the speeches were great, shoutout to Kieran Culkin. Adrien Brody droned on too long and there was some weird mansplaining in the Animated Short category. Weird that they chose to sing 3 Bond songs but couldn't find time for the actual Best Song nominees. And who would've guessed we'd get two songs from the Wiz?! And Queen Latifah, who doesn't really sing much anymore.